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Posted on December 13th, 2010 by Kevin Partner

The VAT increase: what’s a small business to do?

Coin pilesOn 4 January 2011, VAT rises 2.5 percentage points to 20%. If you run an online business that sells VAT-rated products or services then, naturally, you need to ensure that your systems tick over to the new rate on that date. Any decent hosted e-commerce service will do this automatically, as will online accounting software such as FreeAgent.

Harder to anticipate is the effect of this hike on your customers. If you sell to VAT-registered businesses, the effect should be non-existent since your customers can reclaim the higher VAT. Selling to consumers is another matter. The increase in price on low-ticket items is small – the perception of your customers is another matter. If you sell a product for £9.99, the VAT incorporated in that is £1.49. From 4 January, this will increase to £1.70 and the price paid by your customer becomes £10.20. Or does it?

You see, perception is everything. The original price of £9.99 wasn’t set by coincidence – if you’ve researched your market properly, that price will be the best price for that product. You’ll usually sell more products at £9.99 than £10.00 or £9.98, despite the difference being only 1p either way. By increasing your price to £10.21, you might find that demand falls by much more than the 2.1%  rise in the amount paid. If, in the customer’s mind, £9.99 was a fair price to pay on the third of January, it’ll still be a fair price to them on the fourth.

For many small businesses selling direct to consumers, then, their prices will remain as they are and, yet again, it’ll be the businesses that absorb the tax hike. Governments, populated as they are by politicians with little understand of how small business at the sharp end actually works, assume that the increase will simply be passed on and shared amongst millions of consumers. In fact, most of us will see our bottom line eroded by absorbing the cost as the lesser of two evils.

So what’s the answer? In practice, this increase in costs will be largely lost amongst the “noise” of normal business life. Most businesses can increase their revenues to compensate by paying attention to the costs of acquiring customers: reduce your Adwords or print advertising bills by a few percentage points or, even better, increase your conversion rate (perhaps by trumpeting the fact that you’re absorbing the VAT rise).

In the grand scheme, a small increase in VAT isn’t going to bring down a strong small business, but it isn’t exactly helping the Government-proclaimed “heroes of the economy” either.

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20 Responses to “ The VAT increase: what’s a small business to do? ”

  1. hpoom Says:
    December 13th, 2010 at 11:15 am

    “If you sell a product for £9.99, the VAT incorporated in that is £1.49. From 4 January, this will increase to £1.70 and the price paid by your customer becomes £10.21. Or does it?”

    No it doesn’t 21p added to £9.99 would be £10.20 not £10.21.

     
  2. JohnAHind Says:
    December 13th, 2010 at 11:25 am

    Has anyone really researched the £9.99 nonsense recently? I’m guessing that, like “up to 8MB”, magazines dated two months in the future and volume controls that go up to 11, the punters have got wise to it by now!

     
  3. Rakesh Patel Says:
    December 13th, 2010 at 11:41 am

    This is one way to look at it. The other is that prices will increase instead to £10.99 (or £10.49) in the example.

    I read that when the Euro was introduced, a lot of businesses took advantage by converting their old prices to Euros and ’rounding up’ and therefore making more money.

    Most people would not compare and assumed the price was right.

    Also, if a business is likely to suffer unduly by a rise of VAT by 2.5% I think it was pretty much sailing close to the wind anyway and something else would come along and put it under pressure (changes to interest rates, corporation tax, etc).

     
  4. Chuz Says:
    December 13th, 2010 at 1:36 pm

    I think Rakesh has it right – ikf a customer is going to choose £9.99 products over £10 ones (and John, I have to say that I think many, many people still do), then changing the price to £10.99 will probably be a better bet than £10.64.

    I remember that in all of the pubs and clubs I worked in as a student, whenever duty on alcohol increased, the establishments always added a few extra pennies on for themselves. It always seemed like the accountants were saying “one for the taxman, two for us”.

    And it wasn’t like they rounded them up to the nearest 5/10p – I remember Boddingtons increasing from £2.04 to £2.18, but the duty increase was only 4p of that. But official company literature was still to blame it on the government. Obviously changing all of the prices on the tills cost almost 2.5% per unit price….

     
  5. T Evans Says:
    December 13th, 2010 at 1:44 pm

    @ JohnAHind

    “magazines dated two months in the future”

    who on earth could you mean? :)

     
  6. Tim_Wn Says:
    December 13th, 2010 at 3:14 pm

    It would be good if you could second guess what your competitors are likely to do. Get it wrong and you could slide down the price comparsion lists. A better strategy might be to decide on an indidual item basis which are price sensitive and therefore accept the lower profit and which are not and increase to the next price point. If you have a good selection of these you may be able to mitigate the overall affect on your bottom line without appearing to be too expensive overall. You could find out what products ‘lead’ customers to the site and price at the lower cost and then price the options and add on’s at the higher price. If you get this right customers may accept the convinence of buying from one site.

     
  7. Scott Hedrick Says:
    December 13th, 2010 at 5:40 pm

    Once again this shows the fallacy of business taxes. All taxes are paid by the end user, because the cost of those taxes charged to businesses are built into the cost of the product. The more evil corporations are taxed, the more the end user pays. It can’t be any other way, because where else would the money come from to pay the business tax?

     
  8. Rob Schifreen Says:
    December 13th, 2010 at 10:02 pm

    VAT isn’t rising by 2.5%. It’s rising by 2.5 PERCENTAGE POINTS. In other words, the amount of tax we pay is rising by 2.5/17.5, or just over 14%. Strange how the government prefers not to mention that.

     
  9. Barry Collins Says:
    December 14th, 2010 at 8:18 am

    Rob – you’re absolutely right, as was Kevin in his original post. I edited that first sentence badly. Now corrected.

    Thanks

    Barry Collins
    Deputy Editor

     
  10. Craig Killick Says:
    December 14th, 2010 at 9:05 am

    We have seen many of our suppliers raise their prices too, which has a knock on effect; the saving grace being that we work to RRPs for many products so competitors will arguably be in the same boat.

    One issue that may be harder to swallow is the companies selling the same products online from the Channel Islands, charging no VAT. We any now even less competitive online.

    We issued a message through our Facebook Page to our customers and most of them were very supportive. I guess if you are an independent retailer and create a valued relationship with customers, they are much more likely to remain loyal with cost being very much a secondary consideration.

     
  11. Consumer X Says:
    December 14th, 2010 at 1:09 pm

    I hate to play devil’s advocate, but how many of these same businesses lowered their prices to account for the then lower rate of VAT when it was at 15%?

    The simple answer is very few.

    Don’t expect any sympathy from consumers when you get squeezed. Had you lowered your prices instead of screwing us out of the money that should have been passed on to us when VAT was at 15%, then we’d be a little bit more understanding when you told us we would have to pay a little more.

     
  12. Barry Collins Says:
    December 14th, 2010 at 4:25 pm

    hpoom – we’ve corrected the penny pricing error, too. Apologies.

     
  13. George Says:
    December 14th, 2010 at 6:50 pm

    Does anyone know what is likely to happen with Phone contract prices? Whe the VAT went down to 15% my monthly bill went down accordingly, even though I signed on for a £30pm contract. As the VAT returned to normal, and again when it goes up to 20% the bill changed again. I’m only in contract until the end of Feb, and will be leaving O2 and switching to Three because of the inclusive data, but will I get the same deal for £15pm (SIM only rolling contract) that someone else already with Three will be paying 15.32 for, or is it at all likely that three will adjust their prices to start advertising the deal at £15.32? I’d guess there is no chance of them sell an odd number deal, but that then leaves them with the options of paying the VAT for existing customers and taking a substantial hit themselves, or running a two tier system where loyalty isn’t rewarded.

     
  14. Kevin Partner Says:
    December 15th, 2010 at 8:57 am

    @johnahind I have indeed tested various price points including those with .99 in them. The fact is that going from single pounds to double figures has an effect one way or the other (usually to reduce sales). 9.99 is still “less than 10″. There’s no logic to it, except that I think people use it to justify their purchase even though, rationally, they know it’s nonsense.

     
  15. Kevin Partner Says:
    December 15th, 2010 at 9:00 am

    @Scott: not true, Corporation Tax is paid directly by businesses. VAT is NOT a business tax but a consumer tax collected on behalf of the government by business.

     
  16. Davey Winder Says:
    December 15th, 2010 at 10:42 am

    On the plus side, I’ve just checked my new HMRC flat rate scheme percentages which take effect from 4/1/11 and, much to my surprise, while the amount of VAT I have to charge customers is rising by two and a half percentage points the amount *I* have to pay Mr Vatman is only rising by one and a half percentage points.

    Result.

    And no, Barry, I will not be reducing my charges to PC Pro by one percent to account for this bit of good fortune :)

     
  17. Darkharedlord Says:
    December 15th, 2010 at 1:10 pm

    @Kevin: Scott is correct, as are you. Scott is merely pointing out that to pay increased tax burdens (be it corporation or VAT) the customer ultimately foots the bill.

     
  18. dave Says:
    December 16th, 2010 at 10:39 pm

    Consumer X – you might not be aware that for small businesses the administrative costs to drop the VAT to 15% and then put it up a year later were greater than the saving in VAT. This was beacause VAT is worked out and paid quarterly and for three quarters of the businesses they had to calculate VAT in two parts – and I don’t suppose many small retailers have computerised tills that do it all for you. If they do -they still have to pay someone to make the changes – and pay their accountant/book-keeper fot the extra work in doing the VAT calcualtions twice. I know I had do do the calculations manually for one of the retail schemes.

     
  19. Russell_Crisp_Packet Says:
    December 23rd, 2010 at 4:40 pm

    Rakesh Patel is absolutely correct, having travelled all over Europe in the last couple of years that is what all businesses did, and the unsuspecting public had to accept the new price tariffs. Indeed, in France, they even had the prices of things shown on your till receipt in Euros as well as French Francs, so, folks could see how much they were being charged, or, ripped off…..LOL

     
  20. Harps Says:
    January 3rd, 2011 at 1:32 pm

    For small businesses, what would be the best way around to keep business running as ‘normal’ when the VAT increase kicks in?
    Should you leave prices as they are but slowly increase them or flood the shop floor with special offers?

     

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